12:00 PM - 1:00 PM ETPat Kirwan
NFL.com senior analyst Pat Kirwan checked in for his weekly live chat on Tuesday, March 29 to discuss the latest around the NFL.
Pat Kirwan, NFL.comHi everyone. Hope you're all well. Lots of good draft stuff to talk about, so let's go.
Oliver, New Hampshire
12:03 PM ETIn your opinion who's the best player is in this years draft?
Pat Kirwan, NFL.comHi Oliver. That's yet to be determined. The safest pick now would be Patrick Peterson or Marcel Dareus. Ten years from now, at least one or maybe two of the OTs here will be retiring with a number of Pro Bowls on their resume.
12:04 PM ETHello Mr.Kirwan Do you think this years first round Offensiv Tackles could make the same impact on the O-line that Joe Thomas did in Cleveland?
Pat Kirwan, NFL.comI think Joe Thomas right now might be the best pass-blocking OT in the NFL, so that's a tall order. I do think Anthony Castonzo, Gabe Carimi, Tyron Smith and Nate solder will all be 10-year starters in the NFL.
I dop know that Carimi was having dinner just last night with fellow Wisconsin alum Thomas. I assume he asked for some secrets!
Brody, Phoenix, AZ
12:07 PM ETHey Pat, with the plethora of picks that the Patriots have, do you think that they will use some of those to trade up to get a certain player? And if so who?
Pat Kirwan, NFL.comHi Brody. I wrote a piece for today about how the Patriots may be the brokers for all the QB-needy teams. I can see them moving down and taking some picks for next year. But I do not see them moving up.
chuck, Woodbury, MN
12:08 PM ETPat: The Vikings have multipule needs in this draft. Who do you see as a possible partner for them to trade down? Thanks!
Pat Kirwan, NFL.comChuck, they are a team that may have to trade up if they want one of the top two QBs. And they desperately need a QB. Beyond that, they'll have to get a safety, a DE and a DT in this draft. And without a third-round pick, that's going to be tough to do. In my last mock, I have them taking DE Cam Jordan, son of former Vikings TE Steve Jordan.
If they can't move up for a QB in the first round, they'll have to trade for a veteran QB if/when there is labor peace.
Geoff , Denver
12:11 PM ETPat, Thanks for taking the time to be here! With so many teams in the first 12 picks that want a QB, what happens if Carolina does not take Gabbert? Will Denver's phone light up with offers to move down?
Pat Kirwan, NFL.comHi Geoff. I think Carolina recognizes they need a QB but aren't very excited about taking one with the top pick. There's a good chance wer won't know before the draft if there will be qa rookie wage scale. And not many teams will move into the top one or two spots thinking they have to deliver a Sam Bradford-type contract.
Right now, the top QBs haven't caused enough excitement for anyone to move up. That might change, but not yet.
Cory Johnston, Meadville, PA
12:13 PM ETHey Pat! Is Christian Ponder really worth a mid first round pick? He seems to be the Brian Robiskie of this years draft, with a high floor and low ceiling.
Pat Kirwan, NFL.comHi Cory. I have a feeling Ponder will go late i the first round for a few reasons. 1) He's played in a pro-style offense. 2) He had a very good Senior Bowl. 3) As I wrote yesterday, teams that need a QB do not want to go through Thursday night without one. So I expect a late move or two for teams to get a QB they want before the end of the first round.
12:15 PM ETHey Pat, Do you think that Tim Tebow is the answer in Denver or is Denver really interested in a QB now.
Pat Kirwan, NFL.comNoel, I don't think they'll take a QB this year. I can't remember a team taking a QB in the first round two years in a row. Tebow is now on his own, as the people who wanted him in Denver are no longer in control. He had enough hurdles when he had an advocate, so it will be tough.
Ryan, New Orleans, LA
12:17 PM ETHi Pat. HUGE fan of you. I like your latest mock, but I must say...I am not that high on Cameron Heyward coming to the Saints. I was a big fan of his dad back in the day. But I wasn't that impressed by Cameron in college. We need a pass rusher, and he seems like he'd be a better fit as a 5 tech in a 3-4. Am I missing something?
Pat Kirwan, NFL.comHi Ryan. Your analysis is very good. But I think he's better than you think he is. Your problem is going to be that 6-7 DEs will be drafted before the Saints pick. I think Cam will fit nicely with what Gregg Williams does because he's versatile.
Bill, Jupiter, Fla.
12:18 PM ETPat, the Lions hope Stafford isn't a "China Doll". But what if he is? Do they draft a QB in the 2nd round as insurance?
Pat Kirwan, NFL.comNo, Bill. they like their backup QB and they are not ready to admit that Stafford has medical issues -- nor should they. Better off investing in offensive linemen to protect him. Jeff Backus played okay last year, but an investment in an OT who can start 10 years is the right thing to do.
Go see the history of Phil Simms. He had plenty of injuries early in his career and people thought that he was too injury prone. that's not how it played out for him.
Jonah , New Mexico
12:21 PM ETOutside JJ Watt who do you see the Cowboys taking?
Pat Kirwan, NFL.comJonah, I do like J.J. Watt. I can see them coming back for an inside linebacker, perhaps Martez Wilson from Illinois. A cornerback like Aaron Williams from Texas.
Hanko, Merzig / Germany
12:22 PM ETDear Pat. In your latest Mock you have the 49ers picking Blaine Gabbert at No. 7. As much as I would like the pick, why do you think Gabbert would fall that much? Carolina, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Arizona and some would also say Denver and Cleveland all have QB issues, do you really think that only Cincinnati will take a QB? The demand for QBs is much greater than the supplie in this draft.
Pat Kirwan, NFL.comHanko, that's very true about the supply and demand. But I continue to get information that teams at the top are leery of these QBs. We still have a month to go. History says a QB will push to the top. But right now, coming off the owners meetings, I think one of them will be available when the 49ers pick.
12:24 PM ETEven though Martez Wilson is a ILB, could you see him transitioning to a 3-4OLB? and as he has great meaureables and speed could you see him playing OLB for the Patriots?
Pat Kirwan, NFL.comI don't see that James. I think he can play SAM in a 4-3 defense, but I'm not sure I see him as a 3-4 pass-rushing OLB. He only had 9 career sacks at Illinois. I think the Patriots will have better choices to fill that role.
don, gainesville fl
12:27 PM ETwho do you think the buffalo bills pick at #3
Pat Kirwan, NFL.comHi Don, they can certainly look at a QB but I don't think they'll do that. They can land either Peterson, Dareus or Da'Quan Bowers. They'll take whichever falls to them.
mattie, ottawa, canada
12:28 PM ETHey Pat, it's an honor to talk football with you. The obvious choice for the rams is a WR, but I believe Mark Ingram is the choice the Rams should make and have a strong future with Bradford and Ingram. Your thoughts...
Pat Kirwan, NFL.comThanks, Mattie. That theory has been posed to me before and I don't object to it. But I don't think you can afford to stockpile RBs when you have so many other needs. Remember, your QB already averages more than 40 passes a game, and the organization is very comfortable with that. I'm not sure you can get full value for Steven Jackson in a trade, and I don't think they need to look at a RB in the draft until late.
I think they start the draft with either a receiver or defensive lineman.
12:32 PM ETPat, Should Jimmy Smith go to Seattle with pick #25, do you think Carroll and Company can keep him straight? Williams worked, White didn't. Do you think his impact on our poor pass defense will be immediate?
Pat Kirwan, NFL.comSure they can. Pete's dealt with plenty of players liike Jimmy. They like to play for him and they will adhere to his rules. Jimmy is a big, physical player and Pete will get the best out of him if he goes in that direction. The first thing Pete would show a guy like Smith is a list of the players he got rid of last year. They don't wait around -- you perform or you're gone.
Marc Kutner, Houston
12:36 PM ETPK- Your latest has the Texans addressing the pass rush in round 1 and CB in round 2, but you've changed CBs from Curtis Brown to the kid from NM. What can you tell me about the difference between the two CBs?
Pat Kirwan, NFL.comHi Marc, Davon House has moved up significantly in the last two weeks. His size and speed make him a very intriguing prospect for a number of teams. When I left the owners meetings last week, I had a sense this was one of the fast risers in this draft. Long arms, 11 INTs in college. By waiting to get him in the second round, you get a chance to draft Ryan Kerrigan -- another player rising up the boards -- in the first round. A lot of things can happen in the next month, but those two guys I have the Texans taking are among the hot names right now.
Bart in Calgary, Calgary,AB, CAN
12:39 PM ETDo you think the Bears will go with OL or DT? Both are major needs and Ted Phillips has said they will be active in FA but not like last year obviously. Thanks!!
Pat Kirwan, NFL.comHi Bart. They are at the mercy of picking 29th. A lot of choices they like will be off the board. My suspicion is the best player available that meets a need will be an OT.
Jason, Rochester, NY
12:40 PM ETHey Pat, Better choice for Seattle at #25: Gabe Carimi or Jimmy Smith? Will Andy Dalton still be there for them in the 2nd round?
Pat Kirwan, NFL.comJason, I get the feeling there will be an overhauil on that OL, so Carimi would be a good choice. I do not think Dalton will be there for you in the second round. Not at 57.
I wrote a story yesterday on NFL.com about where I see tghe QB scenaruio playing out.
jud, buffalo ny
12:42 PM ETwho do bills pick in the 2nd round #34
Pat Kirwan, NFL.comJud, I've got them taking Arkansas QB Ryan Mallett with that pick.
phil, san deigo
12:43 PM ETDo the Chargers go OLB or DE with the 18th pick they need help at both positions?
Pat Kirwan, NFL.comHi Phil. They do need help at both. Right now I've got them taking Iowa DE Adrian Clayborn.
12:44 PM ETWhat team can you see jumping back in the late 1st round to grab a QB?
Pat Kirwan, NFL.comPete, again please reference the article I wrote yesterday. Knowing that Blaine and Gabbert will be gone early and Locker might be going in the middle of the first, some teams that can jump up into the late first would be Buffalo, Cincinnati, Tennessee, Arizona, Washington or Minnesota.
Scott, Louisville, KY
12:47 PM ETWhat would be a dream draft for the lions ?
Pat Kirwan, NFL.comIt would include resolving the following positions: CB, LT, OLB, S, RB. Some names to consider... Nate Solder, 10-year starter at LT, come back and get CB Aaron Williams of Texas. At pick 75, Bruce Carter, LB from North Carolina, a terrific player coming off a knee injury. At pick 106, grab a safety like Jaquim Jarrett from Temple. Finish up at 151 with a RB like Roy Helu from Nebraska.
That's not a full-blown dream -- they might be realistic targets.
Keith, Cleveland, Ohio
12:50 PM ETWhat is your take on the WR Cobb from Kentucky--he seems like a guy that can contribute.
Pat Kirwan, NFL.comNo doubt Randall Cobb can contribnute. I have a feeling he's a second-round pick, early third at worst. Right now he doesn't get the notoriety of Green or Jones, but at tghe end of the day he'll be a terrific slot receiver in a three WR package. There's no substitute for production, and he caught 144 passes in college.
Scott, London, England
12:53 PM ETHi Pat, do you think there's a chance the Redskins could trade down to acquire more picks? Also, I really liked your mock draft predicting them taking Kaepernick in the 2nd round; I think he's going to be a Josh Freeman-type player.
Pat Kirwan, NFL.comScott, I like Colin Kaepernick. He's got work to do like most of them but he has traits of a very good QB. With the compensatory picks now in, you have a wait of 103 picks between your 41st pick and your next pick at 144. It would be nice to get in somewhere in the 70s, but I'm opposed to giving away future picks to move up. Bruce Allen knows how to wheel and deal to get the extra picks you need in the top 100. It might be easier to move down from pick 41 than down from the 10th pick.
Pat Kirwan, NFL.comOkay, that's it for now. There will be plenty of new developments and observations by the time I'm back for next week's chat, so be sure to join me then with more great questions.
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